Curzon Ashton 1-1 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.06
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.82
6+
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Curzon Ashton The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports The Market 31%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.12
1.16 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.04
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
05.09.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
21.02.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 3-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
25.10.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
15.10.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
1-1
AWAY Peterborough Sports
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Curzon Ashton vs Peterborough Sports
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Curzon Ashton and Peterborough Sports shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

A draw from a 40% / 28% / 32% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Curzon Ashton's favour, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Curzon Ashton against 0.60 for Peterborough Sports.

Curzon Ashton vs Peterborough Sports Result & Final Score

Curzon Ashton 1-1 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Curzon Ashton vs Peterborough Sports Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Curzon Ashton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 40%, draw 28%, Peterborough Sports 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Curzon Ashton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Curzon Ashton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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