Colchester 3-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Colchester
3-0 HT 2-0
Tranmere Rovers
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Colchester vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.61
X/2
10%
6.85
X/X
11%
4.34
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
5.14
2/X
11%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.49/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.43
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.3 Crosses 19.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Colchester vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 Passes 341
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
09.09.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.03.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
27.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
26.03.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.10.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 3-0 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
3-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.82 xG 0.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
207 Passes 416
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester swept aside Tranmere Rovers 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Colchester found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colchester had 36% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 64%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.82 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colchester and 1.00 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Tranmere Rovers?

Colchester 3-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colchester 38%, draw 30%, Tranmere Rovers 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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