Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 29% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.84
X/2
12%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
7.97
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.52/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.03
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
434 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
35.0 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 243
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-4 HT 0-4 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
21.08.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 1-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
04.04.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
21.11.2020 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 1-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
19.03.2016 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-2 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
03.10.2015 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
1-1
AWAY Hansa Rostock
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 3
408 Passes 200
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Hansa Rostock shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 64% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 36%, shots finished 27-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.50 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Hansa Rostock?

Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 51%, draw 23%, Hansa Rostock 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
21 Sep 2024
15:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück Analysis →
15:00 Energie Cottbus vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
15:00 Ingolstadt vs Rot-Weiss Essen Analysis →
15:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Sandhausen Analysis →
17:30 Arminia Bielefeld vs 1860 München Analysis →