Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Waldhof Mannheim
3-2 HT 1-1
Osnabrück
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 28% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
9%
6.61
X/X
16%
5.17
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.35
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Waldhof Mannheim v Osnabrück — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
2.15/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+30% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
13.8 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.03.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
01.10.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 5-0 HT 3-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
23.04.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-2 HT 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
21.11.2021 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-3 HT 2-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
29.04.2001 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL2
26.11.2000 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2

Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 Osnabrück — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waldhof Mannheim
3-2
AWAY Osnabrück
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim nicked a narrow win over Osnabrück 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waldhof Mannheim as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Waldhof Mannheim had 46% of the ball to Osnabrück's 54%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waldhof Mannheim had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.83 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück?

Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waldhof Mannheim vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waldhof Mannheim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Waldhof Mannheim 41%, draw 27%, Osnabrück 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waldhof Mannheim) ✗ Under 2.5
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