Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.56
X/2
8%
7.39
X/X
10%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.19
2/X
11%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.72/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.20
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandhausen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.51 xG 1.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
266 Passes 286
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 2-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen HAZ
26.05.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
28.10.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
18.02.2012 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-4 HT 0-3 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-3
AWAY Sandhausen
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen saw off Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 45% of the ball to Sandhausen's 55%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.50 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Sandhausen?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 44%, draw 27%, Sandhausen 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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