Energie Cottbus 4-0 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.79
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
13%
7.06
X/X
13%
5.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
12%
4.5
2/X
10%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.51/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.69
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
22.04.2016 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
07.11.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-2 HT 2-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
23.05.2015 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-3 HT 1-3 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
28.11.2014 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
4-0
AWAY Stuttgart II
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
356 Passes 392
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus cruised past Stuttgart II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Energie Cottbus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 50% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 50%, shots finished 20-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.25 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Stuttgart II?

Energie Cottbus 4-0 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 42%, draw 27%, Stuttgart II 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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