21/09/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
ES Tunis vs Dekedda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
18%
Draw
8%
15%
Away Win
6%
35%
Under 2.5
28%
65%
Over 2.5
72%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ES Tunis v Dekedda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
ES Tunis
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dekedda
EU Bookmakers 9%
-51% /
-51%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-96%
/
+2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
430 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 77%
33.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
38.0
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
ES Tunis vs Dekedda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
ES Tunis swept aside Dekedda 8-0. Half-time: 4-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Dekedda?
ES Tunis 8-0 Dekedda in the CAF Champions League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Dekedda?
Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 67%, draw 18%, Dekedda 15%. The final score 8-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (ES Tunis)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024