Orlando Pirates 1-0 Galaxy FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.53
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
76%
-12.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.8pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Galaxy FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +96% / +96%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+90% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
Crosses 1.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Galaxy FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Galaxy FC Galaxy FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates CAFŞL
29.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Galaxy FC Galaxy FC AŞL
17.09.2023 Galaxy FC Galaxy FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
1-0
AWAY Galaxy FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Galaxy FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Galaxy FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 51% of the ball to Galaxy FC's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.33 for Galaxy FC.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Galaxy FC?

Orlando Pirates 1-0 Galaxy FC in the CAF Champions League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Galaxy FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 64%, draw 20%, Galaxy FC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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