Al Ahly 3-0 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.6pp
21%
Draw
14%
+6.6pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
480 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gor Mahia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly CAFŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
3-0
AWAY Gor Mahia
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside Gor Mahia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahly had 56% of the ball to Gor Mahia's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Gor Mahia?

Al Ahly 3-0 Gor Mahia in the CAF Champions League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 68%, draw 21%, Gor Mahia 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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