21/09/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Raja Casablanca vs Samatex Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
19%
Draw
18%
15%
Away Win
9%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
59%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Raja Casablanca v Samatex — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Raja Casablanca
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Samatex
EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% /
+9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+139%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
16
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
390 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Raja Casablanca vs Samatex Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Raja Casablanca
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Samatex
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
48%
Ball Possession
52%
7
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Raja Casablanca vs Samatex
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Raja Casablanca beat Samatex 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Samatex?
Raja Casablanca 2-0 Samatex in the CAF Champions League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Samatex?
Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 66%, draw 19%, Samatex 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca)
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL
More CAF Champions League
21 Sep 2024