Pyramids 3-1 APR Kigali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.0pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY APR Kigali EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +119%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
424 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
1W-2D-0L
AWAY APR Kigali
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2024 APR Kigali APR Kigali 1-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids CAFŞL
29.09.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 6-1 HT 2-0 APR Kigali APR Kigali AŞL
17.09.2023 APR Kigali APR Kigali 0-0 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
3-1
AWAY APR Kigali
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs APR Kigali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids got the better of APR Kigali 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 73% of the ball to APR Kigali's 27%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pyramids had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pyramids and 0.67 for APR Kigali.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs APR Kigali?

Pyramids 3-1 APR Kigali in the CAF Champions League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs APR Kigali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 62%, draw 21%, APR Kigali 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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