Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.27
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1 EV+ ✓
28%
4.27
X/2
8%
9.07
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
9%
23.65
2/2
10%
7.24
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.27 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
2.02/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.77
+27% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 14.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
20.04.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
28.08.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.08.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 2-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOR
12.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
425 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Jeju United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 56% of the ball to Jeju United's 44%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.50 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 51%, draw 25%, Jeju United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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