Suwon City 1-0 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.41
1/2
7%
24.95
1/X
10%
12.95
X/1
12%
6.42
X/2
12%
5.15
X/X
7%
4.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
2/2
22%
3.13
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.43
+56% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.6 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 324
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
03.05.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
09.11.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 4-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
01.09.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
15.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
05.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-0
AWAY Gangwon
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
182 Passes 413
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City squeezed past Gangwon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 41%) promised a tight game; Suwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suwon City had 35% of the ball to Gangwon's 65%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suwon City and 1.50 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Suwon City 1-0 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 36%, draw 24%, Gangwon 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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