PEC Zwolle 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.51
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.76
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
10%
4.96
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.73
2/X
7%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.50
+6% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.7 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.11.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 0-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
11.02.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
17.09.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.04.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
19.09.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.47 xG 2.07
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
162 Passes 555
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles got the better of PEC Zwolle 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Go Ahead Eagles made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 28% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 72%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.47 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.17 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

PEC Zwolle 0-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 35%, draw 25%, Go Ahead Eagles 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
21 Sep 2025
15:30 PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Analysis →
15:30 Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Analysis →
17:45 AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Analysis →