AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 53% of the ball to Feyenoord's 47%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.21 to 1.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.67 for Feyenoord.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 40%, draw 20%, Feyenoord 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.