AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-1
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-3
HT 1-1
Feyenoord
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics
Feyenoord squeezed past AZ Alkmaar 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Feyenoord made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 61% of the ball to Feyenoord's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured AZ Alkmaar.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 2.00 for Feyenoord.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
AZ Alkmaar 0-1 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord?
Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 34%, draw 30%, Feyenoord 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.