Detroit City 0-1 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Sep 2025

Detroit City
0-1 HT 0-0
Lexington
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Detroit City vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
23%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Detroit City v Lexington — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.48
-43% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Detroit City 0-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
0-1
AWAY Lexington
1.64 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
395 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ Detroit City vs Lexington
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lexington edged past Detroit City 1-0 away from home in the USL Championship on 21 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Detroit City had 56% of the ball to Lexington's 44%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.64 to 1.17.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Lexington?

Detroit City 0-1 Lexington in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 37%, draw 34%, Lexington 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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