El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
-13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
16.7 Crosses 14.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Charleston Battery
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 2.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
01.10.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-2 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
0-2
AWAY Charleston Battery
0.96 xG 1.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
387 Passes 359
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery beat El Paso Locomotive 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 53% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.96 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.50 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Charleston Battery?

El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 35%, draw 23%, Charleston Battery 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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