Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
North Carolina
USLP
4-2
HT 1-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-3
HT 0-1
North Carolina
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies and North Carolina shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USL Championship on 21 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-1.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 63% of the ball to North Carolina's 37%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.61 to 1.37.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, North Carolina lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.33 for North Carolina.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 43%, draw 27%, North Carolina 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Under 2.5 went the other way.