Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 0-2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Hartford Athletic
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Hartford Athletic 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Hartford Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hartford Athletic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 53% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.98 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Hartford Athletic 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 43%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.