Louisville City vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Louisville City 3-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City beat Las Vegas Lights 3-1 in the USL Championship on 21 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Louisville City had 58% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 42%, shots finished 26-3, expected goals 3.71 to 0.13.
Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Louisville City have the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Louisville City 3-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 71%, draw 17%, Las Vegas Lights 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.