San Antonio 3-1 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.1 Crosses 13.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
14.04.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 0-0 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
08.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
24.09.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.10.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-2 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
10.04.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Antonio
3-1
AWAY Orange County SC
1.22 xG 1.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
316 Passes 370
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Antonio vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio saw off Orange County SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Antonio had 46% of the ball to Orange County SC's 54%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.22 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Antonio and 0.83 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Orange County SC?

San Antonio 3-1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 41%, draw 26%, Orange County SC 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Antonio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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