Pro Patria 3-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +10%
1.03/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.23
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 2-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
15.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
11.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTCK
10.02.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
3-1
AWAY Pergolettese
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria got the better of Pergolettese 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pro Patria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Patria had 52% of the ball to Pergolettese's 48%, shots finished 9-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 0.83 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Pro Patria 3-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 35%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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