Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.07
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
22%
3.45
6+
7%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 46%
+19% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.59/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.55
+24% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Buxton
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-6 HT 0-1 Warrington Town Warrington Town İCON
15.08.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.01.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-3 HT 2-3 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
27.10.2020 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
1-0
AWAY Buxton
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town nicked a narrow win over Buxton 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Warrington Town had 46% of the ball to Buxton's 54%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warrington Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Warrington Town and 1.20 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Buxton?

Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 23%, draw 31%, Buxton 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Buxton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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