Lausanne Sports 0-4 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
16%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.96
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
16%
5.47
X/2
14%
7.06
X/X
10%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
13%
4.39
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.30/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.55
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.3 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Luzern
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
11.05.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.03.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-4 HT 0-3 Luzern Luzern İSV
19.01.2025 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.10.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
15.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
0-4
AWAY Luzern
1.30 xG 3.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
332 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern ran out comfortable winners over Lausanne Sports 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 54% of the ball to Luzern's 46%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.30 to 3.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.83 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Lausanne Sports 0-4 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 41%, draw 24%, Luzern 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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