Lugano 3-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.16
X/2
9%
7.5
X/X
9%
5.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
15%
4.93
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.50
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.5 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
365 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 3-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
24.05.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
23.02.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
10.11.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.10.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
11.05.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
3-0
AWAY Young Boys
2.64 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
408 Passes 267
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano swept aside Young Boys 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Lugano had 57% of the ball to Young Boys's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.64 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano and 1.17 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Young Boys?

Lugano 3-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugano 46%, draw 24%, Young Boys 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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