Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+8.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
0.93/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.09
-22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.09.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
14.03.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
19.10.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
10.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan got the better of Shamakhi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Araz Nahçıvan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.50 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 35%, draw 28%, Shamakhi 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamakhi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
21 Dec 2025
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