Bourg en Bresse 01 0-6 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

Bourg en Bresse 01
0-6 HT 0-1
Marsilya
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
9.57
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
67%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.15
2-3 Goals
41%
2.22
4-5 Goals
31%
2.36
6+ Goals
11%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
23.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.85
1/X
5%
31.0
X/1
6%
29.0
X/2
25%
4.03
X/X
11%
11.6
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
32%
1.3
2/X
3%
26.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
8%
+5.8pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.3pp
67%
Away Win
79%
-12.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourg en Bresse 01 v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 84%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.80/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/0.30
-79% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +150%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 87%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.9
18.9 Crosses 21.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Marsilya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
203 Passes 593
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2018 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-9 HT 0-5 Marsilya Marsilya FRK
16.12.2015 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-3 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FRLK

Bourg en Bresse 01 0-6 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
0-6
AWAY Marsilya
0.66 xG 2.15
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 10
238 Passes 619
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
8 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya ran out comfortable winners over Bourg en Bresse 01 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 30% of the ball to Marsilya's 70%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.66 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 6.00 for Marsilya.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya?

Bourg en Bresse 01 0-6 Marsilya in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 14%, draw 19%, Marsilya 67%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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