Concarneau 3-5 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

Concarneau
3-5 HT 2-3
Nantes
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Concarneau vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.55
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
9%
8.08
X/2
21%
4.65
X/X
7%
5.01
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.57
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 53%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.41
+53% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Concarneau 3-5 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
3-5
AWAY Nantes
1.98 xG 2.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 0
298 Passes 411
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes saw off Concarneau 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nantes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Concarneau had 44% of the ball to Nantes's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.98 to 2.75.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Nantes?

Concarneau 3-5 Nantes in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 29%, draw 22%, Nantes 50%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nantes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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