Auxerre vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auxerre v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Auxerre
FR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Monaco
FR1
0-2
HT 0-2
Monaco
FR2
Auxerre 1-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco nicked a narrow win over Auxerre 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Auxerre had 40% of the ball to Monaco's 60%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.55 to 3.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monaco's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 2.83 for Monaco.
What was the final score of Auxerre vs Monaco?
Auxerre 1-2 Monaco in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Monaco?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 17%, draw 20%, Monaco 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.