Le Havre 0-2 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
30%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.75
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.75
X/1
17%
3.89
X/2
9%
13.95
X/X
4%
6.26
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
12%
12.0
2/X
7%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-15.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
14%
+16.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.92/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.02
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 Passes 367
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
27.08.2022 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
19.04.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
20.11.2021 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
16.01.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
29.08.2020 Le Havre Le Havre 1-0 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-2
AWAY Amiens SC
1.59 xG 0.53
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
461 Passes 178
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
24 Box Touches 2
39 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC saw off Le Havre 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Le Havre at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Le Havre had 68% of the ball to Amiens SC's 32%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.59 to 0.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Le Havre.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 0.50 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Amiens SC?

Le Havre 0-2 Amiens SC in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 50%, draw 20%, Amiens SC 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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