Le Puy 1-0 Bordeaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Puy EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Puy
1-0
AWAY Bordeaux
2.02 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
412 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Puy vs Bordeaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy squeezed past Bordeaux 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Le Puy as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Le Puy had 56% of the ball to Bordeaux's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.02 to 1.49.

What was the final score of Le Puy vs Bordeaux?

Le Puy 1-0 Bordeaux in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Puy vs Bordeaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Puy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Puy 42%, draw 28%, Bordeaux 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Puy), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Puy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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