Montreuil 2-1 Chauvigny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montreuil EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chauvigny EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montreuil
2-1
AWAY Chauvigny
1.11 xG 0.31
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
293 Passes 170
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montreuil vs Chauvigny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montreuil squeezed past Chauvigny 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chauvigny at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Montreuil had 60% of the ball to Chauvigny's 40%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Montreuil vs Chauvigny?

Montreuil 2-1 Chauvigny in the France - Cup on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montreuil vs Chauvigny?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chauvigny win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montreuil 24%, draw 31%, Chauvigny 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chauvigny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chauvigny) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
21 Dec 2025
16:45 Concarneau vs Nantes Analysis →
16:45 Auxerre vs Monaco Analysis →
16:45 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Marsilya Analysis →
16:45 Nice vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →
16:45 RC Strasbourg vs Dunkerque Analysis →
19:30 Le Havre vs Amiens SC Analysis →