Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense saw off Deportivo Saprissa 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alajuelense and 1.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Alajuelense 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 42%, draw 30%, Deportivo Saprissa 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.