Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Saprissa v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Saprissa 0-1 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense squeezed past Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Saprissa carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 57% of the ball to Alajuelense's 43%, shots finished 14-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.17 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?
Deportivo Saprissa 0-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 56%, draw 25%, Alajuelense 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.