Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.52
Over 2.5
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.77/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.46
+30% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
09.02.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
03.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.09.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-3
AWAY Alajuelense
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and Alajuelense shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 47% of the ball to Alajuelense's 53%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.67 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 42%, draw 30%, Alajuelense 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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