Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
On the day, Alajuelense had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 42%, shots finished 23-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alajuelense and 1.67 for Deportivo Saprissa.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 42%, draw 35%, Deportivo Saprissa 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.