Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Saprissa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alajuelense had 69% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 31%, shots finished 14-2.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alajuelense and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Alajuelense 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.