Alajuelense 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -32%
1.26/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.54
-9% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
19.05.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.04.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
09.02.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
03.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense saw off Deportivo Saprissa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 44% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 56%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alajuelense and 1.33 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Alajuelense 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo Saprissa 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
20 Oct 2025
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