Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.15
+2% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
12.04.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.02.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
18.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 5-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY CS Herediano
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over CS Herediano 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 52% of the ball to CS Herediano's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.33 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 44%, draw 25%, CS Herediano 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
20 Oct 2025
03:00 Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa Analysis →