CS Herediano 1-0 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 1 Sep 2025

📅01/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.72/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.40
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
09.02.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
25.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
18.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 5-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
1-0
AWAY Municipal Liberia
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano edged past Municipal Liberia 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CS Herediano had 50% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

CS Herediano 1-0 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 48%, draw 24%, Municipal Liberia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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