AEK Atina 2-1 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.29
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
31.5
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
2%
31.5
X/X
7%
10.55
2/1
14%
24.85
2/2
2%
29.0
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
80%
-1.4pp
15%
Draw
13%
+2.0pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.27/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.41
+3% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
486 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 72%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
26.2 Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
5W-0D-1L
AWAY OFI
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.80 xG 0.58
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
462 Passes 186
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUK
09.11.2025 OFI OFI 0-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
08.12.2024 OFI OFI 1-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
18.08.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
02.10.2023 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-1
AWAY OFI
2.32 xG 1.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina edged past OFI 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 59% of the ball to OFI's 41%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.32 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AEK Atina and 0.50 for OFI.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs OFI?

AEK Atina 2-1 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 79%, draw 15%, OFI 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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