PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.59
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
19%
4.29
X/2
5%
8.04
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.7
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.30/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.05
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.1 Crosses 10.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
27.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.05.2024 PAOK PAOK 4-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
2.02 xG 0.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
298 Passes 269
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK beat Panathinaikos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, PAOK had 52% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 48%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 2.02 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PAOK and 1.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split PAOK 51%, draw 25%, Panathinaikos 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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