Aldershot Town 3-2 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.64
No
49%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.3
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.24
6+
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.96
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.95
X/2
18%
5.51
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
3.5
2/X
11%
12.8
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United The Market 42%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.61 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.15
1.67 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.16
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
112 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 116 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
06.04.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
21.10.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
15.05.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
03.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
08.02.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
3-2
AWAY Hartlepool United
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aldershot Town came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hartlepool United 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Aldershot Town made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. At 1.64 (~61%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 53% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 47%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.00 for Hartlepool United.

Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United Result & Final Score

Aldershot Town 3-2 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 35%, draw 28%, Hartlepool United 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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