Rochdale 0-4 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 35% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.16
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
14%
6.95
X/2
13%
4.74
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.87
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.54/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.59
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
0 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 2-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
05.03.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
16.09.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 4-2 HT 2-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
23.02.2013 Barnet Barnet 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
01.09.2012 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İN2
08.05.2010 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
0-4
AWAY Barnet
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
0 Passes 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet swept aside Rochdale 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Barnet found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 55% of the ball to Barnet's 45%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rochdale and 1.17 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Barnet?

Rochdale 0-4 Barnet in the England - National League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 32%, draw 31%, Barnet 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
22 Feb 2025
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 York City vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs AFC Fylde Analysis →
18:00 Tamworth vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Braintree Town Analysis →