Tamworth 1-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 38% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.75
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
14%
6.14
X/2
11%
4.88
X/X
14%
4.08
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.41/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.78
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
110 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 113 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Southend United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Southend United
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Southend United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Tamworth had 42% of the ball to Southend United's 58%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Southend United?

Tamworth 1-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 34%, draw 28%, Southend United 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Southend United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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