Altrincham 1-2 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
9%
6.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 23% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.05
X/1
24%
3.95
X/2
5%
15.2
X/X
9%
7.64
2/1
9%
19.7
2/2
6%
12.0
2/X
7%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
2.90/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.37
+36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
278 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Fylde
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.10.2024 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-5 HT 0-3 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
16.12.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
28.08.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-3 HT 0-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
25.10.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
27.07.2019 Altrincham Altrincham 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY AFC Fylde
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 8
15 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde squeezed past Altrincham 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Altrincham carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Altrincham had 62% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 38%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Altrincham and 1.40 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs AFC Fylde?

Altrincham 1-2 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 61%, draw 23%, AFC Fylde 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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