AFC Fylde 0-5 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.73
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
13%
7.24
X/2
13%
4.79
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
20%
2.68
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.99/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
+55% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
73 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 83 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
28.08.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-3 HT 0-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
25.10.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
27.07.2019 Altrincham Altrincham 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
0-5
AWAY Altrincham
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
0 Passes 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham ran out comfortable winners over AFC Fylde 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 37% of the ball to Altrincham's 63%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for AFC Fylde and 2.25 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Altrincham?

AFC Fylde 0-5 Altrincham in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 34%, draw 26%, Altrincham 40%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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