Sutton United 1-1 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
10%
4.58
X/2
13%
7.27
X/X
16%
4.52
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.62
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.0pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.70/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.60
+12% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
180 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Braintree Town
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Braintree Town Braintree Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
12.03.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-3 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
27.11.2018 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
10.01.2017 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
13.09.2016 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-1
AWAY Braintree Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and Braintree Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Sutton United had 61% of the ball to Braintree Town's 39%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Braintree Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sutton United and 1.60 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Braintree Town?

Sutton United 1-1 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 38%, draw 29%, Braintree Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sutton United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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