Braintree Town 0-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Oct 2024

Braintree Town
0-1 HT 0-0
Sutton United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Braintree Town vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 34% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.11
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
10%
6.2
X/X
16%
4.6
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.59
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braintree Town v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
0.64/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.50
-58% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Braintree Town vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braintree Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sutton United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
12.03.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-3 HT 0-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL
27.11.2018 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
10.01.2017 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
13.09.2016 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 1-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İBSL

Braintree Town 0-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braintree Town
0-1
AWAY Sutton United
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braintree Town vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Braintree Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sutton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Braintree Town had 61% of the ball to Sutton United's 39%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Braintree Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Braintree Town and 0.75 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Braintree Town vs Sutton United?

Braintree Town 0-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braintree Town vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Braintree Town 38%, draw 28%, Sutton United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Braintree Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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